Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.010988 0.013303 0.016212 0.020224 0.025764 0.033392 0.045171
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.007715 0.010088 0.013433 0.018741 0.027490 0.042541 0.073951
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.006148 0.008417 0.011852 0.017829 0.028999 0.051889 0.114777
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.005290 0.007509 0.011068 0.017755 0.031733 0.065696 0.193020
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004770 0.006990 0.010737 0.018308 0.035978 0.087573 0.376681
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.004303 0.006462 0.010255 0.018376 0.039197 0.111286 0.753727
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003831 0.005848 0.009488 0.017601 0.039856 0.127813 1.361674
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003494 0.005419 0.008988 0.017273 0.041664 0.153514 3.219582
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003329 0.005273 0.009006 0.018164 0.047969 0.220260 29.607432
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003233 0.005236 0.009233 0.019664 0.057865 0.359691 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003139 0.005190 0.009430 0.021172 0.069681 0.629062 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002946 0.004927 0.009103 0.021066 0.074176 0.872292 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002726 0.004610 0.008664 0.020686 0.078316 1.278131 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002464 0.004186 0.007922 0.019161 0.074832 1.430005 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002265 0.003873 0.007399 0.018221 0.074341 1.812082 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002135 0.003687 0.007154 0.018144 0.079751 3.171084 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002049 0.003584 0.007096 0.018714 0.091195 9.124093 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001949 0.003443 0.006917 0.018785 0.099334 30.756718 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001824 0.003234 0.006540 0.017986 0.098625 64.333921 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001729 0.003084 0.006294 0.017647 0.102390 477.356628 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001688 0.003049 0.006351 0.018566 0.122528 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001668 0.003060 0.006531 0.020113 0.157924 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001646 0.003062 0.006689 0.021670 0.204806 NaN NaN